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The AUD is the strongest and the USD is the weakest as the NA session begins

tradingfxdaily by tradingfxdaily
January 4, 2023
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The AUD is the strongest and the USD is the weakest as the NA session begins
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The strongest to the weakest of the major currencies

The AUD is the strongest and the USD is the weakest to start the US trading day. There was a report out of The price of oil is down sharply as the winter storms from last week across the US kept drivers off the roads. Also concerned about global demand waning as economies are slow is weighing on price levels. The price testing December 19 low levels. US yields and European yields are also sharply lower on global growth concerns. Having said looking in the rearview mirror, the Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimate for fourth-quarter growth increased to 3.9% yesterday from 3.7%. Mortgage applications fell -10.3% as rates continued their move to the upside with the 30 year mortgage rate rising to 6.58%. It move closer to 6% earlier in December. Buckle up.

In France today, their estimate for inflation was lower than expected at -0.1% versus +0.5% expected. Germany reported lower preliminary CPI data yesterday at -0.8% versus -0.6% expected. The services PMI out of the EU was marginally higher but still below the 50 level at 49.8 versus 49.1 estimate.

Today starts the progression of employment statistics into the US nonfarm payroll release on Friday where expectations are for 200 K versus 263K last month. The JOLTS job openings will be released at at 10 AM with estimates of 10.04M vs 10.33M last month. A lower number, a lower quits rate, a higher separations rate would all be considered more bearish for the economy. Also at 10 AM today, the US ISM Manufacturing index is expected to come in at 48.5 versus 49.0 last month.

The Fed minutes will be released at 2 PM. The Fed at the last meeting increased rates by 50 bps as they slowed the pace of the hikes. They did raise the terminal rate to 5.1% from 4.6% in their September guesstimate.

The US House will continue to try and elect a Speaker of the House. The GOP failed yesterday as the party remains fragmented.

A look at other markets as US traders enter for the day shows:

  • Spot gold
    Gold

    Gold is the most widely traded and important commodity. Prized for its historical importance and used for trading an exchange of goods, the gold market today is estimated at nearly $2.4 trillion.The value of gold fluctuates constantly, as it trades on public exchanges where it has a price that is determined by supply and demand. Gold has historically had tremendous significance and even today is extremely sought after. Gold has been used as a currency as it doesn’t corrode, and the material allows for some absorption of light creating a yellow glow, which lends the name yellow metal.Ultimately, institutional and retail investors buy and sell gold contracts or physical gold, thus creating the demand and supply flow.This can be pure speculation, to acquire or distribute physical gold, or as a hedge for commercial application. For day-traders, the purpose of trading gold is to profit from its daily price movements.How to Trade GoldDay-trading gold is speculating on its short-term price movements. Of note, physical gold is not actually handled or taken possession of, rather the transactions take place electronically and only profits or losses are reflected in the trading account.There are a number of ways to ultimately trade gold. Retail brokers typically offer exposure to gold through contracts-for-difference (CFDs).Beyond retail brokers, the main way to trade gold is via a futures contract. This represents an agreement to buy or sell something, i.e. gold at a future date. Buying a gold futures contract doesn’t mean you actually have to take possession of the physical commodity.Day traders close out all contracts (trades) each day and make a profit based on the difference between the price they bought the contract and the price they sold it at. However, on a futures exchange, gold moves in $0.10 increments only. This increment is known as a tick. It is the smallest movement a futures contract can make. If you buy or sell a futures contract, how many ticks the price moves away from your entry price determines your profit or loss.

    Gold is the most widely traded and important commodity. Prized for its historical importance and used for trading an exchange of goods, the gold market today is estimated at nearly $2.4 trillion.The value of gold fluctuates constantly, as it trades on public exchanges where it has a price that is determined by supply and demand. Gold has historically had tremendous significance and even today is extremely sought after. Gold has been used as a currency as it doesn’t corrode, and the material allows for some absorption of light creating a yellow glow, which lends the name yellow metal.Ultimately, institutional and retail investors buy and sell gold contracts or physical gold, thus creating the demand and supply flow.This can be pure speculation, to acquire or distribute physical gold, or as a hedge for commercial application. For day-traders, the purpose of trading gold is to profit from its daily price movements.How to Trade GoldDay-trading gold is speculating on its short-term price movements. Of note, physical gold is not actually handled or taken possession of, rather the transactions take place electronically and only profits or losses are reflected in the trading account.There are a number of ways to ultimately trade gold. Retail brokers typically offer exposure to gold through contracts-for-difference (CFDs).Beyond retail brokers, the main way to trade gold is via a futures contract. This represents an agreement to buy or sell something, i.e. gold at a future date. Buying a gold futures contract doesn’t mean you actually have to take possession of the physical commodity.Day traders close out all contracts (trades) each day and make a profit based on the difference between the price they bought the contract and the price they sold it at. However, on a futures exchange, gold moves in $0.10 increments only. This increment is known as a tick. It is the smallest movement a futures contract can make. If you buy or sell a futures contract, how many ticks the price moves away from your entry price determines your profit or loss.
    Read this Term
    is up $14.86 or 0.81% at $1853.86
  • spot silver is up $0.13 or 0.56% at $24.13
  • WTI crude oil is down $2.63 at $74.30
  • Bitcoin is trading at $16,815. The low for the day came in at $16,652. The high for the day has reached $16,906

In the premarket for US stocks, the major indices
Indices

Stock market indices represents an index that measures a particular stock market or a segment of the stock market. These instruments are important investors as they help compare current price levels with past prices to calculate market performance.The main two parameters for indices are that they are both investable and transparent. For example, investors can invest in a stock market index by buying an index fund, which is structured as either a mutual fund or an exchange-traded fund, and track an index. The difference between an index fund’s performance and the index, if any, is called tracking error. Most major countries boast multiple indices. Commonly traded indices include the S&P 500, NASDAQ-100, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIJA), EURO STOXX 50, Hang Seng Index, and many more.Stock market indices can be characterized or segmented by the index coverage set of stocks. The overall coverage of an index constitutes an underlying group of stocks, most commonly grouped together by underlying investor demand.How to Trade IndicesRetail brokers offer indices exposure through the use of contracts-for-difference (CFDs) or exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Each are popular ways to trade specific markets and are almost always on offer at most brokers.Investors can choose between multiple types of indices that traditionally fall within several categories. This includes country coverage, regional coverage, global coverage, exchange-based coverage, and sector-based coverage.All indices are ultimately weighted in a number of different ways. The most common mechanisms include market-capitalization weighting, free-float adjusted market capitalization weighting, volatility weighting, price weighting, and others.

Stock market indices represents an index that measures a particular stock market or a segment of the stock market. These instruments are important investors as they help compare current price levels with past prices to calculate market performance.The main two parameters for indices are that they are both investable and transparent. For example, investors can invest in a stock market index by buying an index fund, which is structured as either a mutual fund or an exchange-traded fund, and track an index. The difference between an index fund’s performance and the index, if any, is called tracking error. Most major countries boast multiple indices. Commonly traded indices include the S&P 500, NASDAQ-100, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIJA), EURO STOXX 50, Hang Seng Index, and many more.Stock market indices can be characterized or segmented by the index coverage set of stocks. The overall coverage of an index constitutes an underlying group of stocks, most commonly grouped together by underlying investor demand.How to Trade IndicesRetail brokers offer indices exposure through the use of contracts-for-difference (CFDs) or exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Each are popular ways to trade specific markets and are almost always on offer at most brokers.Investors can choose between multiple types of indices that traditionally fall within several categories. This includes country coverage, regional coverage, global coverage, exchange-based coverage, and sector-based coverage.All indices are ultimately weighted in a number of different ways. The most common mechanisms include market-capitalization weighting, free-float adjusted market capitalization weighting, volatility weighting, price weighting, and others.
Read this Term
are trading marginally higher after yesterday’s down day to start the new trading year

  • Dow Industrial Average up 48 points after yesterday’s -10.88 point decline
  • S&P index up 6.6 points after yesterday’s -15.36 point decline
  • NASDAQ index up 41 points after yesterday’s -79.50 point decline

In the European equity markets,, the major indices are higher:

  • German DAX +1.53%
  • Francis CAC +1.56%
  • UK’s 100 +0.45%
  • Spain’s Ibex +1.34%
  • Italy’s FTSE MIB +1.3%
  • Stoxx 600 +1.02%

in the Asian Pacific market:

  • Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index rose 3.22%
  • New Zealand 50 rose 1.0%
  • Australia’s S&P/ASX rose 1.63%
  • Shanghai Composite index increased 0.22%

In the US debt market, yields are sharply lower with the tenure down 10 basis points on the day:

US 10 year yield is down 10 basis points

In the European debt market the benchmark 10 year yields are also sharply lower with yields down -8.5 to -13.0 basis points:

European benchmark 10 year yields

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